If you're within 30-50 miles of a big-city metropolis, then I would say your estimate is the *best* case scenario. I personally have witnessed a massive exodus from all the nearest big-city metropolises near me within recent years, and not just Whites. I saw more niggers around in the suburban town I grew up in the last 2 years I lived there alone than in the better part of 20 years previously combined. I hope it all goes well for you on that front, and that you have been well thus far also.