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If i flip the coin and it doesn't land on heads, then it will land on tails. Because there are only two possible outcomes we can say this. Technically the coin could lodge on its side but we can give **small** benefits of the doubt.

Invading countries during war is a complex problem with more than two outcomes. Blocking one eventuality does not necessitate the other. One should not give such a **large** benefit of the doubt.

It's not rocket surgery, it's basic critical thinking skills.

"If we didn't have pizza for dinner we would have had hot dogs" says the man who didn't take into account that there's also steak.